Manchester City should prepare for the collision on Wednesday in Madrid, which adheres to a lead, but a familiar collapse in the first leg of last week means that Pep Guardiola’s team has a deficit to think.
While Madrid was superior to Etihad in the second half, a city led by Vintage Guardiola would never have applied its 2-1 advantage to these dramatic circumstances, which was given to them by an awkward Dani CeBallos challenge.
Her weaknesses will continue to be exposed in times of potential revival, but their efficient dismantling from Newcastle on Saturday indicates a team that can still work with unsteady devastation.
Madrid is anything but unbeatable, but there is an undeniable connection that envelops them into this competition. The task of City on Wednesday is Mammoth, but Guardiola’s team has already raised mountainous peaks.
As well as Opta‘S Supercomputer evaluates your chances of deducting an unlikely comeback.
Opta’s AI-powered computer has provided forecasts for every Champions League game performance since the beginning of last season, whereby the probability of victory has determined every team by 10,000 simulations of each game.
City has to win on Wednesday to get into the 16th round, with a slim victory probably leading the competition until extension. Remember that the gates are not involved. Opta evaluates the Cityzens opportunities for victory in 90 minutes at 28.6%, while Madrid has a 49.2% chance to win at night to keep their crown.
The Guardiola page has entered the next phase in only 21.8% of the 10,000 Sims.
Opta Bearness in terms of a comeback in the city is understandable in view of its different weaknesses and bad records in Bernabeu. They only won one of their six visits to the Spanish capital, with Kevin de Bruyne led the show in 2020 in a 2-1 win.
It is therefore expected.
City’s draw with Real Madrid is one of eight Champions League-Knockout-Playout play-offs that will be completed this week. Paris Saint-Germain (99.1%) and Borussia Dortmund (97.2%) already have a foot in the 16th round after they drove 3-0 victories over Brest and Sporting CP.
Bayern Munich had more difficulties against Celtic and finally held a 2-1 win in Glasgow, but are difficult favorites to avoid a shock defeat in the Allianz Arena this week.
While Milan is close favorite to overthrow a deficit in the first leg against Feyenoord, the Italian neighbors Atalanta plunges out of the competition for the Club Brugge in more than half of Opta Simulations. Benfica and Juventus are expected to be held on their advantages in the first leg.
Half -game devices (total number of points) | Forecasts overall winner (probability, up to 16 progress) |
|---|---|
Milan against Feyenoord (0-1 AGG) | Milan (50.2%) |
Atalanta against Club Brugge (1-2 AGG) | Club Brugge (52.4%) |
Bayern Munich against Celtic (2-1 AGG) | Bayern Munich (93.8%) |
Benfica against Monaco (1-0 AGG) | Benfica (81.4%) |
Borussia Dortmund against Sporting (3-0 AGG) | Borussia Dortmund (97.1%) |
PSG against Brest (3-0 AGG) | PSG (99.1%) |
PSV against Juventus (1-2 AGG) | Juventus (68.1%) |
Real Madrid against Man City (3-2 AGG) | Real Madrid (78.2%) |