Matchday 22 of the Premier League season appears to be a crucial matchday.
League leaders Liverpool appeared to be slipping points away at Brentford before the under-fire Darwin Nunez delivered a stoppage-time brace that led to a massive 2-0 win that only took on significance when Arsenal scored a brace of their own Villa lost their lead against Aston later in the day.
There’s still a long way to go, but here’s how the stats are trending Opta Watch the Premier League title race unfold after the final round of drama.
Arsenal’s draw means Liverpool are now six points clear at the top of the table, with the added benefit of having a game in hand, which they will play away at Everton next month.
There is no doubt this is a significant advantage at this point in the season.
This is reflected in the statistics Opta This means Liverpool have achieved a whopping 91.5% and handed Arne Slot the Premier League trophy in his first season at Anfield. No team has a better chance of finishing in a single position than Liverpool in first place.
Mikel Arteta knows there is a gap to close if Arsenal are to finally win the title this year. The stats are definitely not on his side as the Gunners are given just an 8.2% chance of winning the title away from Liverpool.
However, it is not a two-horse race. Eighth-placed Manchester City are still given a 0.2% chance of completing the most impressive title sweep in history, while leaders Nottingham Forest are at 0.1%.
Newcastle United and Chelsea, who are in fourth and fifth place, have no hope of winning the big game.
rank | Association | Probability of winning the title |
|---|---|---|
1. | Liverpool | 91.5% |
2. | arsenal | 8.2% |
3. | Manchester City | 0.2% |
4. | Nottingham Forest | 0.1% |